{"id":11020,"date":"2025-09-29T10:27:38","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T14:27:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nationalland.com\/blog\/?p=11020"},"modified":"2025-10-01T10:27:52","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T14:27:52","slug":"market-watch-q3-tariffs-tight-margins-midwest-bankruptcies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalland.com\/blog\/market-watch-q3-tariffs-tight-margins-midwest-bankruptcies\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Watch Q3: Tariffs, Tight Margins &#038; Midwest Bankruptcies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.podbean.com\/player-v2\/?share=1&amp;download=1&amp;rtl=0&amp;fonts=Arial&amp;skin=1&amp;btn-skin=7&amp;multiple_size=600&amp;square_size=300&amp;order=episodic&amp;filter=all&amp;limit=600&amp;season=all&amp;tag=all&amp;i=gzyn5-1972d49-pb\" width=\"640\" height=\"150\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Farm margins are tight and the headlines aren\u2019t lying\u2014tariffs, fertilizer and machinery costs, and labor constraints are hitting producers. Jackson Takach (Farmer Mac) breaks down what\u2019s signal vs. noise.<\/p>\n<p>What we cover:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Tariffs 101: Section 301 (unfair trade), 232 (national security), and IEEPA actions (the biggest bucket and under legal challenge). Why these hit steel\/aluminum and fertilizer components\u2014and how that flows to implement and input prices.<\/li>\n<li>Costs that pay back vs. pure drag: seed tech and risk-reduction can be worth it; fertilizer, machinery and labor are harder to offset\u20142026 looks tighter than 2025.<\/li>\n<li>Adaptation that actually helps: proven tech + regenerative practices to reduce input reliance.<\/li>\n<li>Bankruptcies: Chapter 12 filings are up in Arkansas and Nebraska\u2014rising from 2023\u201324 lows back toward 2018\u201320 levels.<\/li>\n<li>Regional stress drivers: soy\/rice\/cotton marketing pain and flooding in AR; feedlot squeeze and weaker soy export pull in NE.<\/li>\n<li>Policy + relief: ongoing US\u2013China trade talks; ~$15\u201320B of prior-year USDA aid still to deploy; Farm Bill politics and PLC \u201cfacelift\u201d dynamics.<\/li>\n<li>Opportunities: growing global protein demand, renewable diesel\/SAF, and more U.S. soybean crush capacity.<\/li>\n<li>Labor &amp; immigration: H\u20112A works for seasonal crops; year\u2011round gaps push automation.<\/li>\n<li>AI\u2019s real role: better data sense\u2011making and lending workflows\u2014not replacing credit decisions.<\/li>\n<li>Land values: Midwest stabilizing\/slipping, Southeast firming, West = water\u2011dependent. Introducing the Farmland Price Index (Farmer Mac \u00d7 AcreValue) built on transactions, not surveys.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Farmer Mac<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.farmermac.com\/\">https:\/\/www.farmermac.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Feed &#8211; Farmland Price Index (By Farmer Mac)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/farmermac.com\/thefeed\/q2-2025-farmland-price-index-update\/\">https:\/\/farmermac.com\/thefeed\/q2-2025-farmland-price-index-update\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>National Land Realty<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalland.com\">https:\/\/www.nationalland.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Farm margins are tight and the headlines aren\u2019t lying\u2014tariffs, fertilizer and machinery costs, and labor constraints are hitting producers. Jackson Takach (Farmer Mac) breaks down what\u2019s signal vs. noise. What we cover: Tariffs 101: Section 301 (unfair trade), 232 (national security), and IEEPA actions (the biggest bucket and under legal challenge). Why these hit steel\/aluminum &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nationalland.com\/blog\/market-watch-q3-tariffs-tight-margins-midwest-bankruptcies\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Market Watch Q3: Tariffs, Tight Margins &#038; Midwest Bankruptcies&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11023,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true},"categories":[1217],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.7.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Market Watch Q3: Tariffs, Tight Margins &amp; Midwest Bankruptcies - National Land Realty News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Chief Economist for Farmer Mac Jackson Takach outlines current struggles in the farmland market and US farmland values in Q3 of 2025.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nationalland.com\/blog\/market-watch-q3-tariffs-tight-margins-midwest-bankruptcies\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Watch Q3: Tariffs, Tight Margins &amp; 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